Back

When is the Best Time to Buy Bitcoin?

When is the Best Time to Buy Bitcoin?

Introduction

If you've spent time looking at Bitcoin, you've probably asked yourself this question many times: "When exactly should I buy?" You're checking price movements periodically, wondering if yesterday was better, or if tomorrow might bring a dip worth waiting for.

The uncomfortable truth is that there's no crystal ball for Bitcoin timing. However, you don’t actually need one. The most successful Bitcoin investors focus on strategy over timing, and that's what we'll go through in this article.

Why Market Timing Bitcoin Is Nearly Impossible

Bitcoin operates differently from traditional assets. While the stock market closes at 4 PM EST, Bitcoin trades 24/7 across global exchanges. It is influenced by news from Seoul at 3 AM just as much as Wall Street at noon.

The 24/7 nature of Bitcoin creates extreme volatility that full-time traders can’t predict. Bitcoin can swing 10% in a single day based on a single tweet, regulatory announcement, or macroeconomic shift.

Do Any Patterns Actually Work?

Some traders swear by certain timing patterns, and there's limited data supporting a few trends:

  • Early morning hours (before traditional markets open) sometimes offer better entry points and less volatility

  • Buy the Rumor, Sell the News has often played out correctly

These patterns are inconsistent and can disappear, so it’s not worth fixating on them. Betting your investment strategy on these patterns is essentially gambling.

Dollar-Cost Averaging

Instead of trying to time the market, successful investors use dollar-cost averaging (DCA). This approach removes the guesswork entirely by investing fixed amounts at regular intervals, regardless of price.

How DCA Works in Practice

Let's say you decide to invest $200 monthly in Bitcoin. Some months you'll buy when Bitcoin is at $45,000, other months at $35,000. Over time, these purchases average out to a middle-ground price that's typically better than trying to guess the perfect moment.

Consider this real example: An investor who started DCA'ing $100 weekly in Bitcoin from January 2022 through December 2023 would have invested $10,400 total. Despite Bitcoin's wild price swings during that period, their investment would have grown significantly by late 2024.

Compare this to someone who invested that same $10,400 all at once during Bitcoin's November 2021 peak. They would have endured months of deep losses and psychological pressure that might have driven them to sell at the worst possible time.

Setting Up Your DCA Strategy

DCA is great because of its simplicity:

  1. Choose your frequency: Daily, weekly, or monthly purchases work well

  2. Set your amount: Start with what you are comfortable with

  3. Automate everything: Many exchanges and fintechs offer automatic recurring purchases

  4. Stay consistent: Don't pause during downturns, that's typically when DCA works best

What Matters More Than Perfect Timing

While everyone obsesses over entry points, several factors actually have bigger impacts on investment success:

Investment Horizon

Are you planning to hold for 6 months or 6 years? Your timeline dictates your strategy. Short-term Bitcoin investment is essentially speculation, while longer timeframes allow you to ride out volatility cycles.

It’s best to treat Bitcoin as a long term investment, given its historical boom and bust cycles roughly follow this pattern.

Risk Tolerance Reality Check

Bitcoin can lose 50% of its value in weeks, then double in months. If watching your investment fluctuate wildly keeps you awake at night, either invest less or reconsider entirely. Stress-induced selling at market bottoms destroys returns.

Conclusion

The best time to buy Bitcoin isn't Tuesday at 7 AM or after a 20% dip. It's when you have conviction in Bitcoin, and commit to a disciplined strategy over many a multi-year long time horizon.

Investors that perform well typically understand that time in the market beats timing the market. This principle applies even more strongly to Bitcoin, where volatility makes precise timing nearly impossible. Start with dollar-cost averaging, begin small, and focus on consistency over perfection.

About Arch

Arch is building a next-gen wealth management platform for individuals holding alternative assets. Our flagship product is the crypto-backed loan, which allows you to securely and affordably borrow against your crypto. We also offer access to bank-grade custody, trading and staking services.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

ChainFi, Inc (dba "Arch Lending" and referred to as "Arch" on this website) is not a bank. 


Loan Services. Crypto backed loans (“Loans”) are offered to U.S. borrowers by ChainFi, Inc. NMLS #2637200. NMLS Consumer Access.


Loan Availability. Loan availability may vary based on jurisdiction. Loans are current not available to U.S. residents of AL, CA, DE, HI, MN, MS, MT, NV, ND, RI, SC, SD, TX, VT, VA, or WA or to U.S. businesses in CA, DC, HI, MT, NV, NM, ND, RI, SD, or VT. We encourage you to contact us to determine if our loans are available in your state.


Loan Agreement. Loans are issued pursuant to a loan agreement between Arch and you. This legally binding document outlines your rights, obligations, interest rates, repayment schedules, potential fees, default consequences, and any other terms and conditions related to your loan. Your loan agreement may contain state-specific provisions. By signing the loan agreement, you acknowledge your acceptance of these terms, so please ensure you understand every aspect before proceeding. 


Interest Rates. Annual interest rates are subject to change and may vary based on loan type, the principal amount requested, and the borrower's jurisdiction of residence. 


Supported Assets. For the latest list of supported assets, refer to our Help Center.


No Financial, Investment or Tax Advice Provided. The information on this website, articles, guides, tools, or communications, is for general informational purposes only. It is not, and should not be construed as, financial, investment, tax, or other professional advice. Arch is not a financial advisor, investment advisor, broker, tax advisor, or accounting firm. We do not provide personalized advice or recommendations for your unique financial situation or goals. You should consult a qualified professional before making any financial, investment or tax decisions. Any examples, hypothetical scenarios, calculator results, or general discussions of financial or tax concepts are for illustration only and don't guarantee specific outcomes or apply to your personal circumstances. By using this website, you acknowledge you are solely responsible for your financial decisions and will seek independent professional advice as needed.


No Guarantee of Offers, Loans, or Returns. Your use or access to this website or platform does not guarantee the availability of any current and/or future offer, promotion, terms, loan, or return. All offers, promotions, terms, and loans are subject to availability and the sole discretion of Arch. We reserve the right to modify or withdraw any offering at any time without prior notice.


State-Specific Disclosures. Additional state-specific disclaimers may apply depending on your location. We encourage you to review all relevant disclaimers and terms carefully before proceeding.

*State of Idaho Disclaimer. In Idaho, ChainFi, Inc is doing business as Arch Lending and does not conduct activity under the name Arch.

ChainFi, Inc (dba "Arch Lending"), 595 Broadway, Floor 4, New York, NY 10012


For general questions, visit our Help Center or use the Intercom chat widget in the bottom right corner of any screen on this website. 


For customer service or complaints, email us at support@archlending.com, or call us toll-free: +1 855-272-4670 between Monday-Friday from 9am-7pm ET and Saturday-Sunday from 10am-5pm ET.

© 2025 All Rights Reserved

ChainFi, Inc (dba "Arch Lending" and referred to as "Arch" on this website) is not a bank. 


Loan Services. Crypto backed loans (“Loans”) are offered to U.S. borrowers by ChainFi, Inc. NMLS #2637200. NMLS Consumer Access.


Loan Availability. Loan availability may vary based on jurisdiction. Loans are currently not available to U.S. residents of AL, CA, DE, HI, MN, MS, MT, NV, ND, RI, SC, SD, TX, VT, VA, or WA or to U.S. businesses in CA, DC, HI, MT, NV, NM, ND, RI, SD, or VT. We encourage you to contact us to determine if our loans are available in your state.


Loan Agreement. Loans are issued pursuant to a loan agreement between Arch and you. This legally binding document outlines your rights, obligations, interest rates, repayment schedules, potential fees, default consequences, and any other terms and conditions related to your loan. Your loan agreement may contain state-specific provisions. By signing the loan agreement, you acknowledge your acceptance of these terms, so please ensure you understand every aspect before proceeding. 


Interest Rates. Annual interest rates are subject to change and may vary based on loan type, the principal amount requested, and the borrower's jurisdiction of residence. 


Supported Assets. For the latest list of supported assets, refer to our Help Center.


No Financial, Investment or Tax Advice Provided. The information on this website, articles, guides, tools, or communications, is for general informational purposes only. It is not, and should not be construed as, financial, investment, tax, or other professional advice. Arch is not a financial advisor, investment advisor, broker, tax advisor, or accounting firm. We do not provide personalized advice or recommendations for your unique financial situation or goals. You should consult a qualified professional before making any financial, investment or tax decisions. Any examples, hypothetical scenarios, calculator results, or general discussions of financial or tax concepts are for illustration only and don't guarantee specific outcomes or apply to your personal circumstances. By using this website, you acknowledge you are solely responsible for your financial decisions and will seek independent professional advice as needed.


No Guarantee of Offers, Loans, or Returns. Your use or access to this website or platform does not guarantee the availability of any current and/or future offer, promotion, terms, loan, or return. All offers, promotions, terms, and loans are subject to availability and the sole discretion of Arch. We reserve the right to modify or withdraw any offering at any time without prior notice.


State-Specific Disclosures. Additional state-specific disclaimers may apply depending on your location. We encourage you to review all relevant disclaimers and terms carefully before proceeding.

*State of Idaho Disclaimer. In Idaho, ChainFi, Inc is doing business as Arch Lending and does not conduct activity under the name Arch.

ChainFi, Inc (dba "Arch Lending"), 595 Broadway, Floor 4, New York, NY 10012


For general questions, visit our Help Center or use the Intercom chat widget in the bottom right corner of any screen on this website. 


For customer service or complaints, email us at support@archlending.com, or call us toll-free: +1 855-272-4670 between Monday-Friday from 9am-7pm ET and Saturday-Sunday from 10am-5pm ET.

© 2025 All Rights Reserved

ChainFi, Inc (dba "Arch Lending" and referred to as "Arch" on this website) is not a bank. 


Loan Services. Crypto backed loans (“Loans”) are offered to U.S. borrowers by ChainFi, Inc. NMLS #2637200. NMLS Consumer Access.


Loan Availability. Loan availability may vary based on jurisdiction. Loans are currently not available to U.S. residents of AL, CA, DE, HI, MN, MS, MT, NV, ND, RI, SC, SD, TX, VT, VA, or WA or to U.S. businesses in CA, DC, HI, MT, NV, NM, ND, RI, SD, or VT. We encourage you to contact us to determine if our loans are available in your state.


Loan Agreement. Loans are issued pursuant to a loan agreement between Arch and you. This legally binding document outlines your rights, obligations, interest rates, repayment schedules, potential fees, default consequences, and any other terms and conditions related to your loan. Your loan agreement may contain state-specific provisions. By signing the loan agreement, you acknowledge your acceptance of these terms, so please ensure you understand every aspect before proceeding. 


Interest Rates. Annual interest rates are subject to change and may vary based on loan type, the principal amount requested, and the borrower's jurisdiction of residence. 


Supported Assets. For the latest list of supported assets, refer to our Help Center.


No Financial, Investment or Tax Advice Provided. The information on this website, articles, guides, tools, or communications, is for general informational purposes only. It is not, and should not be construed as, financial, investment, tax, or other professional advice. Arch is not a financial advisor, investment advisor, broker, tax advisor, or accounting firm. We do not provide personalized advice or recommendations for your unique financial situation or goals. You should consult a qualified professional before making any financial, investment or tax decisions. Any examples, hypothetical scenarios, calculator results, or general discussions of financial or tax concepts are for illustration only and don't guarantee specific outcomes or apply to your personal circumstances. By using this website, you acknowledge you are solely responsible for your financial decisions and will seek independent professional advice as needed.


No Guarantee of Offers, Loans, or Returns. Your use or access to this website or platform does not guarantee the availability of any current and/or future offer, promotion, terms, loan, or return. All offers, promotions, terms, and loans are subject to availability and the sole discretion of Arch. We reserve the right to modify or withdraw any offering at any time without prior notice.


State-Specific Disclosures. Additional state-specific disclaimers may apply depending on your location. We encourage you to review all relevant disclaimers and terms carefully before proceeding.

*State of Idaho Disclaimer. In Idaho, ChainFi, Inc is doing business as Arch Lending and does not conduct activity under the name Arch.

ChainFi, Inc (dba "Arch Lending"), 595 Broadway, Floor 4, New York, NY 10012


For general questions, visit our Help Center or use the Intercom chat widget in the bottom right corner of any screen on this website. 


For customer service or complaints, email us at support@archlending.com, or call us toll-free: +1 855-272-4670 between Monday-Friday from 9am-7pm ET and Saturday-Sunday from 10am-5pm ET.

© 2025 All Rights Reserved